The Geopolitics and Geoeconomics of Modi’s Three-Nation Tour

0
1126

Images Source – Image-1 | Image-2 | Image-3 

Sanjay Pulipaka* 

The Indian Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, recently (June 15-18, 2025) completed his three-nation tour, which took him to Cyprus, Canada, and Croatia. These visits were defined by the geopolitical developments in India’s extended neighbourhood and were also aimed at leveraging economic opportunities in Europe and beyond.  

This is the first time in 20 years that an Indian Prime Minister has visited Cyprus. The visit was a consequence of geopolitical dynamics and was loaded with symbolism and strategic intent. Cyprus is a strategically important island in the Mediterranean Sea and is the site of a territorial contest between Greek Cypriots and Turkish Cypriots. Following the political turmoil that began in the 1960s and the subsequent Turkish military intervention, the island was divided into two administrative zones. In 1983, the northern part declared itself the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) and received recognition only from Turkey, which also maintains a military presence there. On the other hand, the rest of the island, administered by the Greek Cypriot government, is recognised as a legitimate government by the international community. While the United Nations (UN) maintains a buffer zone, the dispute pertaining to sovereignty and territorial integrity has remained unresolved.  

Interestingly, during the visit, Prime Minister Modi walked along Cyprus’s UN-monitored buffer zone (Green Line) and also noted that both countries “honour each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.” The Indian prime minister’s actions and statements were interpreted as also directed against Turkey. It is well known that Turkey has been providing weapons to Pakistan. While many countries do provide Pakistan with the latest weapon systems, Turkey went a step further and has indulged in shrill advocacy supporting Islamabad’s position on Kashmir on various international platforms. Therefore, Prime Minister Modi’s visit to Cyprus was also seen as a response to Turkey’s policies towards India. The India-Cyprus joint statement states that both countries reiterated the importance of ‘deepening defence cooperation,’ and “strengthening multilateral efforts to combat terrorism.” In fact, Cyprus can become an important partner in providing information and combating terrorist financing. There was considerable speculation that India may provide Cyprus with the latest weapon systems.   

However, it would be inaccurate to see the visit only through the lens of Turkey. Cyprus is a member and will soon take over the Presidency of the European Union. On the economic front, Cyprus constitutes a critical hub in the India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC).  

If direct air connectivity between the two countries gets established, there would be an increase in tourists, and people-to-people interactions will get strengthened. During the visit, Prime Minister Narendra Modi was conferred with the highest civilian honour of Cyprus, the “Grand Cross of the Order of Makarios III”, indicating the deepening of the bilateral relationship.  

From Cyprus, the Indian prime minister travelled to Canada to participate in the G7 meetings. Given the chill in bilateral relations, there was considerable speculation about whether India would be invited to the G7 summit meeting in Canada. It is well known that India-Canada relations have experienced considerable strain due to the activities of Khalistan supporters.  

However, after some delay, India’s prime minister was invited to the G7 summit. Explaining the rationale of extending the G7 invitation to Prime Minister Modi, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated India is “the fifth largest economy in the world, the most populous country in the world and central to supply chains.” Perhaps, the Indian premier’s presence at the G7 summit resulted in a tentative improvement in the India-Canada bilateral relationship. It was reported that both countries had decided to restore regular diplomatic services and also designate new High Commissioners. The Indian Prime Minister’s visit to Canada marks a tentative improvement in the bilateral relationship.     

The Indian Prime Minister held approximately a dozen bilateral meetings with leaders of other countries attending the G7 summit. The G7 summit was the first multilateral meeting that the Indian Prime Minister attended after Operation Sindoor. It is likely that closed-door, informal interactions would have revolved around the security situation in West Asia, South Asia and the terrorism emanating from Pakistan. In his formal remarks at the G7 summit, Indian Prime Minister, referring to the recent terror attacks in India, stated that “there must be no place for double standards when it comes to terrorism…. [and]…  extending support to terror or terrorists, is a betrayal of all humanity.”  

Narendra Modi was the first Indian Prime Minister to visit Croatia. Both countries signed agreements to facilitate cooperation in the domains of agriculture, cultural exchange, science, technology, renewed the ICCR Hindi Chair at the University of Zagreb and resolved to strengthen the India-Croatia Start-up Bridge. There was also an emphasis on cultural interactions, with the Indian prime minister receiving a copy of Vezdin’s Sanskrit Grammar, which was first printed in 1790.  

In addition to improving the bilateral relations, the visit was also aimed at strengthening the India-EU strategic partnership. Croatian ports will play a crucial role as India intensifies its European engagement. Not surprisingly, during the visit, the discussions centred on “Croatia serving as a Mediterranean gateway to Central Europe.” Prime Minister Modi invited Croatian companies to invest in shipbuilding, port modernisation and developing multimodal connectivity in India and expressed willingness to share India’s capabilities in space technologies with Croatia.  

The Indian premier’s visits to Cyprus and Croatia were forward-looking, aimed at scaling up diplomatic interactions and establishing policy frameworks to leverage future economic opportunities in Europe. These visits were also aimed at diversifying India’s economic partnerships with countries in Europe. In the past few months, India and the UK have agreed on a bilateral free trade agreement, and negotiations for an FTA with the European Union are progressing apace. There is considerable stress in the transatlantic alliance because of divergent views on security threats and trade. Given the growing volatility in global politics, it is time for India and Europe to collaborate more intensely.  

***** 

*Sanjay Pulipaka is the Chairperson at the Politeia Research Foundation. The views expressed are personal. 

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Politeia Research Foundation

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading